East Carolina
W-L: (36-25) PR = 96.7362Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 3- 4 214 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 3- 9 214 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 12- 5 217 H Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 1- 3 218 A Gardner-Webb BSO ( 6- 8, 92.2) 11- 2 220 A Coppin State MEAC ( 1- 4, 82.7) 0- 1 221 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 10- 3 222 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 3- 3 225 H Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 8- 7 227 H Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 14- 2 228 H Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 5- 2 301 A Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 0-13 304 H Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 5-22 306 H Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 6- 3 307 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 1- 7 308 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 10- 4 310 H Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 11- 0 311 A William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 24- 3 313 H Pennsylvania IVY ( 2- 9, 91.9) 17- 3 314 H Pennsylvania IVY ( 2- 9, 91.9) 0- 1 315 H Pennsylvania IVY ( 2- 9, 91.9) 8- 7 317 H Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 4- 3 320 H UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 3- 2 321 A Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 18- 5 322 H UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 4-11 324 A Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 8- 9 327 A UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 3- 0 328 A UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 1- 6 329 A UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 7- 8 331 H UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 14- 8 402 H Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 12- 2 403 H Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 12- 9 404 H Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 15- 5 407 A Ball State MA ( 4-11, 91.4) 8- 4 410 H Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 1- 5 411 A Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 9- 6 412 A Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 3- 6 414 H NC State ACC (34-21, 96.4) 3-10 417 H Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 7- 1 418 H Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 7- 1 419 H Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 1-13 421 A Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 19- 9 424 H South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 11- 1 425 H South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 12- 4 428 A NC State ACC (34-21, 96.4) 2-12 501 A Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 12- 0 502 A Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 3- 5 503 A Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 4- 9 508 H Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 5-10 509 H Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 3- 5 510 H Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 3- 0 514 H Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 7- 7 515 H Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 6- 1 516 A Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 13- 2 522 H Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 4- 3 523 A UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 2- 4 523 H Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 13- 3 524 A UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 1- 0 529 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 7- 3 530 H North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 5- 7 530 H North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 5- 7 531 H VCU A10 (10-10, 94.2) 10- 0 531 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 3- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Xavier 3- 4 -1 4 -- -4.82
214 H Xavier 3- 9 -6 4 --- -9.82
214 H Xavier 12- 5 7 4 + 3.18
217 H Jacksonville State 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.33
218 A Gardner-Webb 11- 2 9 4 ++ 5.17
221 A North Carolina 10- 3 7 -3 +++ 9.74
222 A North Carolina 3- 3 0 -3 + 2.74
225 H Charleston 8- 7 1 4 - -3.30
227 H Rutgers 14- 2 12 4 +++ 8.48
228 H Troy 5- 2 3 1 1.81
301 A Saint Mary's 0-13 -13 1 --- -14.49
304 H Florida State 5-22 -17 0 --- -14.43
306 H Jacksonville 6- 3 3 4 -0.77
307 A Coastal Carolina 1- 7 -6 1 --- -6.58
308 A Coastal Carolina 10- 4 6 1 ++ 5.42
310 H Old Dominion 11- 0 11 4 +++ 6.90
311 A William & Mary 24- 3 21 5 +++ 9.46
313 H Pennsylvania 17- 3 14 5 +++ 8.52
315 H Pennsylvania 8- 7 1 5 -- -4.48
317 H Elon 4- 3 1 6 -- -4.51
320 H UAB 3- 2 1 3 -1.54
321 A Oregon State 18- 5 13 0 +++ 13.22
322 H UAB 4-11 -7 3 --- -9.54
324 A Duke 8- 9 -1 2 - -2.56
327 A UTSA 3- 0 3 -1 ++ 4.09
328 A UTSA 1- 6 -5 -1 - -3.91
329 A UTSA 7- 8 -1 -1 0.09
331 H UNC Wilmington 14- 8 6 3 + 2.90
402 H Charlotte 12- 2 10 3 +++ 6.70
403 H Charlotte 12- 9 3 3 -0.30
404 H Charlotte 15- 5 10 3 +++ 6.70
407 A Ball State 8- 4 4 5 -0.68
410 H Alabama 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.33
411 A Tulane 9- 6 3 2 1.35
412 A Tulane 3- 6 -3 2 -- -4.65
414 H NC State 3-10 -7 1 --- -8.03
417 H Wichita State 7- 1 6 3 + 3.17
418 H Wichita State 7- 1 6 3 + 3.17
419 H Monmouth 1-13 -12 4 --- -16.33
421 A Old Dominion 19- 9 10 3 +++ 7.25
424 H South Florida 11- 1 10 3 +++ 7.17
425 H South Florida 12- 4 8 3 ++ 5.17
428 A NC State 2-12 -10 0 --- -9.68
501 A Memphis 12- 0 12 2 +++ 10.31
502 A Memphis 3- 5 -2 2 - -3.69
503 A Memphis 4- 9 -5 2 --- -6.69
508 H Rice 5-10 -5 3 --- -8.08
509 H Rice 3- 5 -2 3 -- -5.08
510 H Rice 3- 0 3 3 -0.08
514 H Delaware 7- 7 0 5 -- -5.27
515 H Boston College 6- 1 5 2 + 3.45
516 A Florida Atlantic 13- 2 11 2 +++ 8.69
522 H Rice 4- 3 1 3 - -2.08
523 A UTSA 2- 4 -2 -1 -0.91
523 H Wichita State 13- 3 10 3 +++ 7.17
529 A Tennessee 7- 3 4 -1 ++ 4.63
530 H North Carolina 5- 7 -2 -1 -0.61
530 H North Carolina 5- 7 -2 -1 -0.61
531 H VCU 10- 0 10 3 +++ 6.81
531 A North Carolina 3- 9 -6 -3 - -3.26
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Xavier 3- 9 -6 4 --- -9.82 301 A Saint Mary's 0-13 -13 1 --- -14.49 304 H Florida State 5-22 -17 0 --- -14.43 307 A Coastal Carolina 1- 7 -6 1 --- -6.58 322 H UAB 4-11 -7 3 --- -9.54 414 H NC State 3-10 -7 1 --- -8.03 419 H Monmouth 1-13 -12 4 --- -16.33 428 A NC State 2-12 -10 0 --- -9.68 503 A Memphis 4- 9 -5 2 --- -6.69 508 H Rice 5-10 -5 3 --- -8.08 213 H Xavier 3- 4 -1 4 -- -4.82 315 H Pennsylvania 8- 7 1 5 -- -4.48 317 H Elon 4- 3 1 6 -- -4.51 410 H Alabama 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.33 412 A Tulane 3- 6 -3 2 -- -4.65 509 H Rice 3- 5 -2 3 -- -5.08 514 H Delaware 7- 7 0 5 -- -5.27 217 H Jacksonville State 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.33 225 H Charleston 8- 7 1 4 - -3.30 324 A Duke 8- 9 -1 2 - -2.56 328 A UTSA 1- 6 -5 -1 - -3.91 502 A Memphis 3- 5 -2 2 - -3.69 522 H Rice 4- 3 1 3 - -2.08 531 A North Carolina 3- 9 -6 -3 - -3.26 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 A North Carolina 10- 3 7 -3 +++ 9.74 227 H Rutgers 14- 2 12 4 +++ 8.48 310 H Old Dominion 11- 0 11 4 +++ 6.90 311 A William & Mary 24- 3 21 5 +++ 9.46 313 H Pennsylvania 17- 3 14 5 +++ 8.52 321 A Oregon State 18- 5 13 0 +++ 13.22 402 H Charlotte 12- 2 10 3 +++ 6.70 404 H Charlotte 15- 5 10 3 +++ 6.70 421 A Old Dominion 19- 9 10 3 +++ 7.25 424 H South Florida 11- 1 10 3 +++ 7.17 501 A Memphis 12- 0 12 2 +++ 10.31 516 A Florida Atlantic 13- 2 11 2 +++ 8.69 523 H Wichita State 13- 3 10 3 +++ 7.17 531 H VCU 10- 0 10 3 +++ 6.81 218 A Gardner-Webb 11- 2 9 4 ++ 5.17 308 A Coastal Carolina 10- 4 6 1 ++ 5.42 327 A UTSA 3- 0 3 -1 ++ 4.09 425 H South Florida 12- 4 8 3 ++ 5.17 529 A Tennessee 7- 3 4 -1 ++ 4.63 214 H Xavier 12- 5 7 4 + 3.18 222 A North Carolina 3- 3 0 -3 + 2.74 331 H UNC Wilmington 14- 8 6 3 + 2.90 417 H Wichita State 7- 1 6 3 + 3.17 418 H Wichita State 7- 1 6 3 + 3.17 515 H Boston College 6- 1 5 2 + 3.45 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 3- 4 -6.31 12.12 -0.68 0.46 -1.60
0 H Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 3- 9 -6.31 12.12 -0.68 0.46 -1.60
0 H Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 12- 5 -6.31 12.12 -0.68 0.46 10.51
0 H Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 1- 3 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.46 -0.80
0 A Gardner-Webb ( 6- 8, 92.2) 11- 2 -7.67 10.76 0.68 0.46 10.50
0 A Coppin State ( 1- 4, 82.7) 0- 1 -17.20 1.22 0.68 0.46 -3.79
0 A North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 10- 3 -1.10 17.32 0.68 0.46 16.53
0 A North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 3- 3 -1.10 17.32 0.68 0.46 0.00
0 H Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 8- 7 -6.79 11.64 -0.68 0.46 10.06
0 H Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 14- 2 -6.01 12.42 -0.68 0.46 10.78
0 H Troy (40-31, 96.2) 5- 2 -3.68 14.75 -0.68 0.46 12.92
0 A Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 0-13 -5.33 13.10 0.68 0.46 -1.07
0 H Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 5-22 -2.92 15.51 -0.68 0.46 -0.82
0 H Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 6- 3 -6.26 12.17 -0.68 0.46 10.55
0 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 1- 7 -4.42 14.01 0.68 0.46 -0.86
0 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 10- 4 -4.42 14.01 0.68 0.46 13.48
0 H Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 11- 0 -6.59 11.84 -0.68 0.46 10.25
0 A William & Mary (20-30, 91.5) 24- 3 -8.38 10.05 0.68 0.46 9.84
0 H Pennsylvania ( 2- 9, 91.9) 17- 3 -7.97 10.46 -0.68 0.46 8.98
0 H Pennsylvania ( 2- 9, 91.9) 0- 1 -7.97 10.46 -0.68 0.46 -1.98
0 H Pennsylvania ( 2- 9, 91.9) 8- 7 -7.97 10.46 -0.68 0.46 8.98
0 H Elon (22-27, 91.9) 4- 3 -8.00 10.43 -0.68 0.46 8.95
0 H UAB (31-27, 94.9) 3- 2 -5.02 13.40 -0.68 0.46 11.68
0 A Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 18- 5 -3.62 14.80 0.68 0.46 14.21
0 H UAB (31-27, 94.9) 4-11 -5.02 13.40 -0.68 0.46 -1.31
0 A Duke (29-28, 94.5) 8- 9 -5.40 13.02 0.68 0.46 -1.09
0 A UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 3- 0 -2.74 15.68 0.68 0.46 15.02
0 A UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 1- 6 -2.74 15.68 0.68 0.46 -0.47
0 A UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 7- 8 -2.74 15.68 0.68 0.46 -0.47
0 H UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 14- 8 -5.59 12.84 -0.68 0.46 11.17
0 H Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 12- 2 -5.79 12.64 -0.68 0.46 10.98
0 H Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 12- 9 -5.79 12.64 -0.68 0.46 10.98
0 H Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 15- 5 -5.79 12.64 -0.68 0.46 10.98
0 A Ball State ( 4-11, 91.4) 8- 4 -8.52 9.90 0.68 0.46 9.71
0 H Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 1- 5 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.46 -0.80
0 A Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 9- 6 -5.49 12.93 0.68 0.46 12.49
0 A Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 3- 6 -5.49 12.93 0.68 0.46 -1.11
0 H NC State (34-21, 96.4) 3-10 -3.52 14.91 -0.68 0.46 -0.96
0 H Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 7- 1 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 0.46 11.41
0 H Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 7- 1 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 0.46 11.41
0 H Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 1-13 -6.82 11.60 -0.68 0.46 -1.72
0 A Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 19- 9 -6.59 11.84 0.68 0.46 11.49
0 H South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 11- 1 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 0.46 11.41
0 H South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 12- 4 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 0.46 11.41
0 A NC State (34-21, 96.4) 2-12 -3.52 14.91 0.68 0.46 -0.65
0 A Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 12- 0 -5.53 12.90 0.68 0.46 12.46
0 A Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 3- 5 -5.53 12.90 0.68 0.46 -1.11
0 A Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 4- 9 -5.53 12.90 0.68 0.46 -1.11
0 H Rice (31-26, 94.3) 5-10 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 0.46 -1.43
0 H Rice (31-26, 94.3) 3- 5 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 0.46 -1.43
0 H Rice (31-26, 94.3) 3- 0 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 0.46 11.18
0 H Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 7- 7 -7.76 10.67 -0.68 0.46 0.00
0 H Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 6- 1 -4.04 14.39 -0.68 0.46 12.59
0 A Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 13- 2 -6.15 12.28 0.68 0.46 11.89
0 H Rice (31-26, 94.3) 4- 3 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 0.46 11.18
0 A UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 2- 4 -2.74 15.68 0.68 0.46 -0.47
0 H Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 13- 3 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 0.46 11.41
0 A UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 1- 0 -2.74 15.68 0.68 0.46 15.02
0 A Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 7- 3 -3.21 15.22 0.68 0.46 14.59
0 H North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 5- 7 -1.10 17.32 -0.68 0.46 -0.41
0 H North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 5- 7 -1.10 17.32 -0.68 0.46 -0.41
0 H VCU (10-10, 94.2) 10- 0 -5.68 12.75 -0.68 0.46 11.09
0 A North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 3- 9 -1.10 17.32 0.68 0.46 -0.10
------
390.52
|
winning pts = 418.1297 losing points = -27.6080
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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